The payment of more interest on deposits hurts the bottom line of large US banks (2024)

The payment of more interest on deposits hurts the bottom line of large US banks (1)

Wall Street’s large banks are feeling the effects of the sharp rise in interest rates at two different speeds. On one hand, they hastily passed on the hikes on their loans, but they dragged their feet when it came to deposits and other interest-paying products. Now, expenses derived from high interest expenses are skyrocketing and affecting first quarter earnings results. Large banks have not particularly suffered from the rise in commercial real estate delinquencies, which puts more pressure on regional banks. Instead, they have had to make new contributions to the Federal Deposit Insurance Commission (FDIC) to finance the bailouts of Silicon Valley Bank and the rest of the mid-sized banks that failed last year. Meanwhile, investment banking commissions are recovering in the heat of the resurgence of IPOs, bond placements and corporate operations.

JPMorgan, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, Citi, Goldman Sachs and Wells Fargo made profits of $34.4 billion in the first three months of this year, 3% less than a year before. The largest bank in the United States, JPMorgan, continues to be the driver of results, earning $13.4 billion, 6% more than in the first quarter of 2023, but this increase was mainly due to the incorporation of First Republic Bank, which it bought at a bargain price last year. Without this operation, its profit would only have grown by 1%.

The president of JPMorgan, Jamie Dimon, spoke of a “normalization” of the interest margin and the cost of credit, which translates into a smaller difference between what the bank charges for loans and what it pays for deposits and other interest-paying products. The first quarter accounts reflect that interest income still grew by 28% year-on-year (partly due to higher volumes derived from the incorporation of First Republic Bank), but what is new is that interest expenses shot up by 49%. Furthermore, when quarters are compared sequentially, net interest income falls from the fourth quarter of last year to the first quarter of this year.

That normalization, Dimon said, will continue as clients move from non-interest-paying deposits to products with higher rates. The bank’s chief financial officer, Jeremy Barnum, explained it in the conference with analysts: “We don’t think it makes sense to assume that in a world where checking and savings accounts are paying zero and the official interest rate is above 5% we are not going to see continuous migration,” he said.

The same effect is more noticeable in Wells Fargo. Its interest income grew 18% to $22.84 billion, but interest expenses soared 76% to $10.2 billion. The lender attributes this to the impact of rising interest rates on financing costs, including the impact of customers migrating to higher-profit deposit products. With this, the interest margin was reduced by 8%, $12.2 billion, weighing down the income statement despite the improvement in commission income. Attributable consolidated profits also fell 8%, to $4.3 billion.

The same happened with Bank of America, the second-largest bank in the United States. With a similar volume of deposits, interest expenses grew from $4.3 billion to $9.1 billion in one year. As a whole, higher payments on deposits and other products weighed down the interest margin and contributed to a 20% drop in profit, to $6.1 billion.

Citi suffered a 27% decline in profit. The group’s accounts were are also affected by pressure on the interest margin, but not as much. The lender is going through its own restructuring and transition process, with severance expenses due to workforce reduction and lower income from the sale of businesses. Along with this, provisions for credit losses are growing strongly.

Improve investment banking

After a dark period for the investment banking business, income from fees and profits are recovering. IPO activity has picked up and debt issuances have also skyrocketed, breathing new life into the accounts of Wall Street giants. Income from investment banking fees soared by 30%.

This has especially benefited Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, which are most dependent on that line of business. Goldman stands out in commissions for placement and underwriting of share issues, where income soared 45%, to $370 million; income from debt issues rose 38% to $699 million, and advisory fees rose 24% to just over $1 million.

Thanks to investment banking and trader activity, Goldman Sachs’ profit shot up 27% in the first quarter to $3.9 billion, surpassing Citi. In their case, the interest margin dropped, but this has little weight in their business.

The same goes for Morgan Stanley, whose profit grew by 15% to $3.2 billion due to the 16% increase in its investment banking income and the good evolution of the brokerage and wealth management lines.

Goldman surpassed JPMorgan in investment banking fees, which brought in $2 billion, 21% more than the previous year. This was especially due to the increase in commissions for debt issues, which shot up 58% to $1 billion. Shares also surged 51%, to $355 million, while advisory services fell sharply by 21%, to $598 million.

Bank of America breaks down commissions differently, but it grows in all chapters, especially in issues. Altogether, investment banking fees increased by 35% to $1.6 billion. In the case of Citi, the trends are similar. Commissions on fixed-income and variable-income placements grew by around 60%, while insurance commissions fell by 17%. Overall, its investment banking fees rose 32% to $977 million. At Wells Fargo, investment banking fees soared 92%, to $627 million. The bank seeks to grow in that business, in which it is still relatively small.

Bailout bill

Banks continue to foot the bill for the 2023 bailouts of Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank and First Republic Bank. After the extraordinary provisions that battered their accounts at the end of 2023, lenders have had to provision new contributions again.

In the case of JPMorgan, the additional amount has been $725 million and in Bank of America, about $700 million. Wells Fargo has had to allocate $284 million, while Citi has reserved an additional $251 million. Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, which have a smaller balance sheet and fewer guaranteed deposits, have only had to contribute an additional $78 and $42 million, respectively.

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The payment of more interest on deposits hurts the bottom line of large US banks (2024)

FAQs

The payment of more interest on deposits hurts the bottom line of large US banks? ›

As a whole, higher payments on deposits and other products weighed down the interest margin and contributed to a 20% drop in profit, to $6.1 billion. Citi suffered a 27% decline in profit. The group's accounts were are also affected by pressure on the interest margin, but not as much.

Why do higher interest rates hurt banks? ›

Besides loans, banks also invest in bonds and other debt securities, which lose value when interest rates rise. Banks may be forced to sell these at a loss if faced with sudden deposit withdrawals or other funding pressures.

How do interest rates affect the financial sector? ›

One sector that tends to benefit the most is the financial industry. Banks, brokerages, mortgage companies, and insurance companies' earnings often increase—as interest rates move higher—because they can charge more for lending.

What impact will higher rates have on net interest margins? ›

If the policy rate increases, banks would pay out more in interest on their liabilities while the rates on their long-term loans would remain stable — effectively narrowing net interest margins.

What is interest rate risk in commercial banks? ›

Interest rate risk is the exposure of a bank's current or future earnings and capital to adverse changes in market rates.

Who benefits from higher interest rates? ›

As interest rates rise, the interest income from loans typically increases faster than the interest paid on deposits, leading to wider profit margins. Additionally, higher interest rates can boost the earnings of insurance companies and investment firms, as they often hold large portfolios of interest-sensitive assets.

Are banks more profitable with higher interest rates? ›

Although most banks became more profitable as the Federal Reserve raised rates in 2022–23, a smaller group of banks saw consistent decreases in their net interest margins (NIMs).

What banks are most at risk right now? ›

These Banks Are the Most Vulnerable
  • First Republic Bank (FRC) . Above average liquidity risk and high capital risk.
  • Huntington Bancshares (HBAN) . Above average capital risk.
  • KeyCorp (KEY) . Above average capital risk.
  • Comerica (CMA) . ...
  • Truist Financial (TFC) . ...
  • Cullen/Frost Bankers (CFR) . ...
  • Zions Bancorporation (ZION) .
Mar 16, 2023

What is the largest source of income for banks? ›

The primary source of income for banks is the difference between the interest charged from the borrowers and the interest paid to the depositors. Banks usually collect higher interest from loans than the interest they provide for deposits.

What are the disadvantages of increasing interest rates? ›

Higher interest rates typically slow down the economy since it costs more for consumers and businesses to borrow money. But while higher interest rates can make it more expensive to borrow and could hamper overall economic growth, there are also some benefits.

Which bank has the highest net interest margin? ›

Kotak Bank's NIM is highest in the banking sector and it has maintained the same margin of 5.22% for the second time after the last quarter.

Do bank stocks go up when interest rates rise? ›

As a general rule, bank stocks tend to increase when interest rates rise, as the banks have potential to bring in more revenue. To understand the relationship between interest rates and the performance of financial institutions, know how banks work. Banks don't simply hold on to the money deposited into their accounts.

Is a high interest rate good for a savings account? ›

High-yield savings accounts can help you grow your savings faster than traditional savings accounts. The best high-yield savings rates currently range from 4.50% APY to 5.35% APY—far higher than the national average savings account rate of 0.46%, according to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC).

Do banks hedge their interest rate risk? ›

There are two ways in which a bank can manage its interest rate risks: (a) by matching the maturity and re- pricing terms of its assets and liabilities and (b) by engaging in derivatives transactions.

Why do banks hedge interest rates? ›

An Interest Rate Hedge, or Swap, is a financial solution that allows qualified loan customers to swap a variable interest rate for a fixed rate over a defined period of time, increasing the predictability of cash flow.

What is the effect of interest rate risk on banks? ›

Fluctuations in market interest rates directly affect a bank's profits through changes in net interest income and swings in the valuation of outstanding positions. Profits in turn influence a bank's net worth (or economic value).

How does the Fed interest rate affect banks? ›

The Fed also sets the discount rate, the interest rate at which banks can borrow directly from the central bank. If the Fed raises interest rates, it increases the cost of borrowing, making both credit and investment more expensive. This can be done to slow an overheated economy.

Why are negative interest rates bad for banks? ›

When interest rates are negative, lenders pay borrowers for holding debt. This means that someone gets paid interest for holding a loan, such as a mortgage or personal loan. As such, banks lose out while borrowers benefit. Savers, on the other hand, lose out.

Why do low interest rates hurt banks? ›

When the policy rate falls below the disintermediation threshold, some banks stop receiving deposits and engage in less lending. When the policy rate is exceptionally low, offering deposits at a zero rate becomes so costly that banks may have an incentive to stop accepting them.

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